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War-Gaming Simulator

Monte Carlo Portfolio Stress Testing against Global Black Swans

Iterations:
Engine Ready

Select Crisis Scenario

Malacca Strait Blockade

EXTREME

Complete closure of the Strait of Malacca, halting 25% of global traded goods.

Probability: 12%Geopolitical

Taiwan Semiconductor Halt

CRITICAL

TSMC production halt triggers global chip shortage and massive tech sell-off.

Probability: 18%Supply Chain

OPEC+ Surprise 2M Cut

HIGH

Unannounced 2M barrel/day production cut sending oil above $120.

Probability: 45%Energy

US Debt Ceiling Crisis

CRITICAL

Failed debt ceiling vote triggers government shutdown and bond market chaos.

Probability: 30%Macro

Global Ransomware Attack

HIGH

Coordinated ransomware hitting financial infrastructure across 20+ countries.

Probability: 35%Cyber
Awaiting Scenario Input